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Why 3-D television will flop

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Old 01-13-2010, 08:51 AM   #31  
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Regardless of the improvement in 3D, I don't think that the consumer will warm up to it for several years, and here is the reasons why I say this.

CE industry has been marketing HDTV heavily as the cream of the crop, trying to get consumers to upgrade to HDTV displays and BD players. The consumer finally begins to buy in, investing $$ in a tough economy, and only after
  • their current display fails, and there are very few non-HDTVs available for sale (if any), or
  • the price of a 50" HDTV can be had for less than $700, and
  • BD players have hit their sweet spot, and
  • new release BDs have been routinely on sale for around $19.99.

Now very soon afterwards, they want to introduce a new technology that is even more expensive? How much is the 3D display, $10,000?

Lee waited (is he still waiting?) two years after the demise of HD DVD to buy into BD, and he's an early adopter. How forgiving will J6P be, after shelling out all this money for HDTV only to find that none of it can be used for 3D? The same consumers who were on the fence before buying into BD because of the format war fiasco, or maybe felt that DVD and upconverted DVD was "good enough"? My guess is that they will be not very forgiving, and they will find non-3D BD to be "good enough" as well.

Do you know how many people misplace their remotes, and now they have to keep track of the glasses as well? What happens when you invite friends (who haven't bought into 3D) over to watch your new 3D display? Do you have to keep an extra 1/2 dozen glasses on hand so that they can watch with you?

How do they demo the TVs in the stores? Will there be sterilized glasses for every consumer that walks by?

In my opinion, and for the reasons I outlined, 3D tv will be a niche market for a long time. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe they will find a way to adapt the technology to existing HDTVs and only require the addition of a set-top box. But it doesn't look like that is the direction they are heading.

Last edited by dsskid; 01-13-2010 at 09:12 AM..
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Old 01-14-2010, 10:57 PM   #32  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rbinck View Post
I don't think they had 3D motion pictures 170 years ago and the new technology is a far cry from the colored glasses.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lee Stewart View Post


You looked at those two images I posted and can say nothing new? You don't see any difference between them?

OBTW . . .



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3-D_film
But we did have stereoscopic 3d about 170 years ago.
Code:
It was first invented by Sir Charles Wheatstone in 1840.[1] Stereoscopy is used in photogrammetry and also for entertainment through the production of stereograms.
may not have been with moving pictures but the same concept. Lee's sample show's over/under,,the stereoscopes me remembers were side by side. other than being used on film/digital,,,,how does it differ? call me dense if me be not seeing the whole picture here.
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Old 01-14-2010, 11:07 PM   #33  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oblioman View Post
But we did have stereoscopic 3d about 170 years ago.
Code:
It was first invented by Sir Charles Wheatstone in 1840.[1] Stereoscopy is used in photogrammetry and also for entertainment through the production of stereograms.
may not have been with moving pictures but the same concept. Lee's sample show's over/under,,the stereoscopes me remembers were side by side. other than being used on film/digital,,,,how does it differ? call me dense if me be not seeing the whole picture here.
Todays 3D images are full color. Anaglyph can't do this because it uses one primary color and one secondary color.

100+ years ago they didn't have color. It was sepia tone.

And we are talking about 3D movies, not 3D photographs.

Have you been to a digital theater in the last 3 years to see a 3D movie?
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Old 01-14-2010, 11:13 PM   #34  
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Originally Posted by Lee Stewart View Post
Todays 3D images are full color. Anaglyph can't do this because it uses one primary color and one secondary color.

100+ years ago they didn't have color. It was sepia tone.

And we are talking about 3D movies, not 3D photographs.

Have you been to a digital theater in the last 3 years to see a 3D movie?
this was the last moving picture show that me saw in a theatre -
http://www.archive.org/details/captainvideo
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Old 01-16-2010, 01:46 AM   #35  
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Anaglyph will work with color movies. It's just that the colors are a bit washed-out looking. A more recent variation of anaglyph is Colocode 3d. This uses an amber left filter and a dark blue right filter. This allows for normal looking color, but the depth is not quite as pronounced. Also, 3d still photos go back to the Civil War. Civil War photographer Mathew Brady took 3d photos during the war.
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