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High Definition Media A place to discuss BD and UHD Content from physical and digital media |
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#3481 | |
Keeping it F&B
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 825
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#3482 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,448
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Dunno if blurays will follow a similar trajectory. |
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#3483 |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,124
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Good question. I think the decline will be very slow and probably won't end up as irrelevant as LPs for at least 10 more years. OD still has significant advantages in every key area except for convenience and digital is nowhere near ready to take over (otherwise the decline would be much faster). But even so OD will continue to decline more due to ownership fatigue rather than something being ready to take its place. Except for TV shows, I think digital is primarily a rental model than one of ownership (which I believe will always be primarily physical), so it's growth potential is limited.
Last edited by bruceames; 08-08-2012 at 09:38 PM.. |
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#3484 | |
Muscle Cars Forever!
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 46,319
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#3485 |
Keeping it F&B
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 825
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I guess we will also see increases in digital sell thru as well over the next several years.
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#3486 |
Muscle Cars Forever!
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 46,319
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#3487 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,448
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For example, are the people who like the "idea of ownership" dying off with not enough younger people taking their places? |
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#3488 | |
Keeping it F&B
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 825
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Same goes for home ownership vs rental. Younger folks seem to want to rent. I think it's partially the economic pressures many are under right now. |
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#3489 | |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,124
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I think OD is highly collectible still, but that what really doesn't help is seeing the rapid turnover of formats. The idea of collecting is that you own it with the intent of using for life, but what we're seeing is that a better version usually comes out after 5-10 years. So a lot people think, what's the point unless you watch it several times over in just a few years. And that rarely happens unless you have an obsession about a particular movie or if it's for the kids who often like to watch their favorite movies over and over. But I think most OD sales are not about consciously buying to collect but rather as impulse or convenience buys (particularly for new releases). For some people it's worth it to buy it off the shelf at $18 (and hope they watch it at least a few times) rather than worrying about returning it later. $20 and under is impulse buy price territory, so OD will continue to be fed quite well from this type of purchase. |
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#3490 | |
Muscle Cars Forever!
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 46,319
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#3491 |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,124
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That's true Lee, good point. OD purchases generally don't hold up to the test of time.
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#3492 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,448
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With the prices of OD quite low these days, for some individuals it is not much different than collecting baseball cards (or Pokemon cards).
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#3493 | |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,124
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One thing's for sure, the collectors will always be here and there not going to want to collect stuff in the cloud or on hard drives. They're going to want to collect something they can touch. |
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#3494 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 843
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#3495 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,448
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Years ago I use to think this way when it came to movies. Through most of the 1990's and 2000's, I didn't really place much value in owning movies. As far as I was concerned in those days, movies were largely the equivalent of "throwaway" disposable pop culture. (Not much different than eating at McDonalds or reading the daily newspaper).
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