![]() |
|
|
High Definition Media A place to discuss BD and UHD Content from physical and digital media |
![]() |
![]() |
|
Thread Tools |
![]() |
#151 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 884
|
![]()
OD down another 17%.
BD sellthrough at $1.43 billion with 8 weeks to go. It may be into the 1st week in December when it hits $1.8 billion (2010 BD sales). |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#152 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,749
|
![]() Quote:
That is an interesting statistic. Will be good to note when it actually hits $1.8 billion. That would mean it would have to do $360 million for BD until the end of the year to do 20% gain, and $450 million to hit 25% YoY. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#153 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,749
|
![]()
Or it has to average $102.5 million per week from now on to reach 25% growth.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#154 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 843
|
![]() Quote:
![]() ![]() |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#155 |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]()
Here's the updated table. Like Mike said, OD took a big hit. First time since July it's been down that much, so Cars 2 should get a fail for the way it followed up up TS3. Even worse is that Cars 2 had a lot of help while TS3 was all alone.
Updated thru week ending 11/5/11 Table of Blu-ray sales (HMM and DEG) numbers are in (revenue) millions. Code:
2011 total 6287.42 -13.0% 4854.09 -20.2% 1433.33 25.5% 22.8% 7739.6 7958.9 Week Date OD OD YoY DVD DVD YoY BD BD YoY BD Share TBO2011 TBO2010 Q4 total 808.33 0.8% 526.56 -15.4% 281.77 57.0% 34.9% 1502.0 1070.2 44 11/5 167.53 -16.8% 117.59 -22.8% 49.94 2.0% 29.8% 335.6 414.9 43 10/29 147.15 11.2% 96.66 -11.3% 50.49 115.6% 33.6% 204.5 108.7 42 10/22 156.94 9.5% 95.94 -17.1% 61.00 120.8% 38.9% 370.0 56.0 41 10/15 152.92 -2.4% 106.50 -14.1% 46.42 42.2% 30.4% 343.3 233.0 40 10/8 183.79 9.3% 109.87 -9.4% 73.92 57.7% 40.2% 248.6 257.6 Q3 DEG 1742.79 -4.0% 1320.93 -14.7% 421.86 58.0% 24.2% Q3 total 1667.09 -4.9% 1298.39 -13.9% 368.70 49.9% 22.1% 1806.3 1609.5 39 10/1 152.58 -14.3% 109.97 -20.4% 42.61 7.1% 27.9% 352.1 382.7 38 9/24 153.60 5.0% 108.69 -12.5% 44.91 103.6% 29.2% 169.3 112.5 37 9/17 164.69 14.0% 107.37 -14.2% 57.32 197.2% 34.8% 190.8 165.2 36 9/10 128.84 0.0% 102.29 -10.5% 26.55 82.9% 20.6% 189.3 60.3 35 9/3 119.04 -9.5% 100.87 -13.7% 18.17 23.5% 15.3% 65.6 95.1 34 8/27 109.34 -13.1% 91.74 -16.6% 17.60 11.5% 16.1% 12.6 45.3 33 8/20 124.53 -4.4% 101.11 -12.8% 23.42 63.3% 18.8% 100.8 81.2 32 8/13 122.13 -1.8% 98.44 -9.5% 23.69 51.8% 19.4% 118.0 143.9 31 8/6 139.66 1.4% 111.78 -3.6% 27.88 27.9% 20.0% 189.8 133.5 30 7/30 108.78 -18.3% 89.06 -20.2% 19.72 -8.7% 18.1% 56.8 177.2 29 7/23 120.50 -1.9% 97.25 -9.4% 23.25 49.9% 19.3% 88.3 72.7 28 7/16 118.09 -4.8% 94.88 -13.5% 23.21 61.7% 19.7% 267.8 94.7 27 7/9 105.31 -16.7% 84.94 -22.7% 20.37 22.9% 19.3% 5.1 45.2 Q2 DEG 1831 -15.0% 1434 -18.8% 397 9.4% 21.7% Q2 total 1791.55 -12.2% 1402.94 -16.7% 388.61 9.1% 21.7% 2314.8 2422.0 26 7/2 127.11 -12.3% 96.32 -21.6% 30.79 39.4% 24.2% 102.3 181.4 25 6/25 123.25 -7.7% 98.18 -12.8% 25.07 20.1% 20.3% 205.4 85.8 24 6/18 149.89 -11.2% 114.68 -17.7% 35.21 19.5% 23.5% 208.2 142.8 23 6/11 130.81 -13.6% 103.23 -18.6% 27.58 12.3% 21.1% 305.0 152.6 22 6/4 118.16 -34.1% 96.17 -32.8% 21.99 -39.1% 18.6% 15.8 386.8 21 5/28 113.83 -16.6% 91.37 -22.9% 22.46 24.9% 19.7% 154.4 87.9 20 5/21 111.98 -15.2% 91.84 -18.9% 20.14 7.2% 18.0% 99.8 185.7 19 5/14 111.02 -23.6% 90.00 -26.8% 21.02 -6.2% 18.9% 155.6 113.6 18 5/7 122.05 -25.2% 99.74 -29.5% 22.31 -7.7% 18.3% 141.5 106.1 17 4/30 106.99 -40.6% 86.94 -39.6% 20.05 -44.5% 18.7% 0.0 120.5 16 4/23 217.30 -8.3% 171.47 -0.3% 45.83 -29.4% 21.1% 187.5 841.3 15 4/16 184.50 48.7% 134.40 24.8% 50.10 205.3% 27.2% 314.8 8.1 14 4/9 174.66 21.6% 128.60 5.9% 46.06 107.5% 26.5% 424.5 9.4 Q1 DEG 2068 -20.0% 1661 -25.0% 407 10.0% 19.7% Q1 total 2020.45 -23.2% 1626.20 -28.4% 394.25 9.4% 19.5% 2116.5 2857.2 13 4/2 192.11 -36.0% 144.16 -44.6% 47.95 20.1% 25.0% 300.9 461.1 12 3/26 135.54 -49.8% 110.21 -50.9% 25.33 -44.1% 18.7% 218.0 335.6 11 3/19 138.72 -46.5% 112.58 -49.6% 26.14 -27.1% 18.8% 154.2 534.3 10 3/12 146.96 -24.4% 116.11 -30.8% 30.85 16.5% 21.0% 177.0 247.2 9 3/5 174.59 -7.2% 132.93 -15.4% 41.66 34.1% 23.9% 112.3 258.8 8 2/26 160.96 4.5% 130.35 -2.5% 30.61 50.7% 19.0% 258.0 74.9 7 2/19 172.68 -8.1% 143.99 -12.7% 28.69 25.0% 16.6% 86.2 80.1 6 2/12 172.00 -19.4% 145.34 -23.1% 26.66 8.9% 15.5% 224.0 211.0 5 2/5 158.26 -16.7% 131.08 -20.8% 27.18 11.1% 17.2% 23.0 114.6 4 1/29 151.21 -14.6% 122.05 -20.9% 29.16 27.6% 19.3% 201.2 151.6 3 1/22 131.62 -16.3% 107.98 -21.0% 23.64 14.8% 18.0% 60.7 61.0 2 1/15 135.49 -17.3% 108.51 -23.9% 26.98 27.0% 19.9% 143.3 137.8 1 1/8 150.31 -14.1% 120.91 -19.5% 29.40 18.6% 19.6% 157.7 189.2 OD = optical disc (DVD + Blu-ray) YoY = year over year percentage change TBO = total box office BD = Blu-ray |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#156 | |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]() Quote:
Safe to say that I don't think this week exceeded anyone's expectations. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#157 | |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]() Quote:
If Blu-ray can't even break $50 on a $335 million TBO week in November, then it's certainly not going to average double that the rest of the year. Especially with the last 8 weeks averaging $80 million less in box office power than this week. Last edited by bruceames; 11-14-2011 at 10:07 PM.. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#158 |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]()
FWIW so far this year, the DEG has been 6.4% higher than HMM for Blu-ray. Not that 6.4% is significant or that it will make the difference between reaching or not reaching $2.5 billion.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#159 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 884
|
![]()
Ahhh... Yesss. $2.5 billion. "A plausable and reasonable goal", as one prolific poster and pundit postulated, as recently as September.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#160 | |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]() Quote:
That's not even 30% of the pace of DVD sell through at the same point in it's lifecycle (well, DVD did start 3 months earlier in the year). http://www.dvdinformation.com/news/press/010903.htm Last edited by bruceames; 11-14-2011 at 10:49 PM.. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#161 |
Steelbook Addict
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 678
|
![]()
Looks like my 25% YOY gain for blu-ray is not going to happen. Its looking like I was overly optimistic with my 2011 prediciton. Oh well. Thats the way it goes.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#162 | ||
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]()
I found this data on DVD player penetration at EOY 2002 interesting.
Quote:
Compare that with today: Quote:
And yet Blu-ray is doing only about 30% of the sales that DVD did. Wow. Keep in mind that VHS did nearly $10 billion on its own in 2002, just about what DVD will do this year. So you can't say it's DVD's fault that Blu-ray's growth rate is plummeting, as DVD faced the same scenario back then with VHS. Last edited by bruceames; 11-14-2011 at 11:01 PM.. |
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#163 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 843
|
![]() Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#164 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,749
|
![]() Quote:
And I think it will drop quite a bit after that. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#165 |
Super Moderator
Thread Starter
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
Posts: 17,126
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Sponsored Links |
|
|
![]() |
Thread Tools | |
|
|