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High Definition Media A place to discuss BD and UHD Content from physical and digital media |
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#136 | |
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#137 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
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I agree that either Captain America saw a ~70% decline in the 2nd week (which would still be a good week for Cars 2), or Cars 2 had a phenomenal launch week. This one is going to be interesting! What was last year like when Toy Story 3 was released? |
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#138 | |
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I don't remember what Toy Story's sales were, I wasn't keeping track back then. I know it did pretty well though. |
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#139 |
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Jurassic Park only did 1.66% of Cars 2, which using the relatively conservative estimate above of 1.86 million for Cars 2, is about 30k units, which is just over 20% of the estimated 146k units* sold in week 1. Note that Jurassic Park already fell below Star Wars.
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#140 |
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According to The-Numbers, Toy Story 3 DVD did 3.86 million. Nielson First Alert reported a 33% Blu-ray share, so that would put BD sales at around 1.9 million. The next highest Blu-ray title was The Pacific, at only 8.37% of TS3. So it dwarfed the field that week.
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#141 | |
High Definition is the definition of life.
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Cars 2 doing around the same volume as Toy Story 3 would be a significant plus for Blu-ray. I certainly would not have predicted that. OD will be down quite a bit by comparison, but if Cars 2 does pull off ~1.9 million BD units, it may mean BD could be up as much as 27% at EOY. |
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#142 | |
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Cars 2 BD did 47%, so if it sold 1.86 million units, then the dvd sold about 2.1 million, for a total of just under 4 million. Toy Story 3 sold about 5.75 million in week 1. Disney may be satisfied with the sales though, considering that Cars 2 was not critically acclaimed like TS3. |
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#143 |
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Cars 2 is also a Eyecandy Demo Disc everyone should have.
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#144 | ||
High Definition is the definition of life.
Join Date: Sep 2007
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The-Numbers blu-ray data for the top ten titles on Captain America week comes to $79 million. ![]() That's just the top ten. HMM came in at $50 million for ALL blu-ray revenue. The-Numbers numbers get more outlandish as the 4th quarter progresses. The-Numbers "data" is C.S. Trowbridge simply guessing, with a strong OD bias. There is no research there. I can't imagine anyone who would actually pay for their numbers. Quote:
Last edited by mikemorel; 11-10-2011 at 06:51 AM.. |
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#145 |
High Definition is the definition of life.
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Another interesting factoid from this weeks "The-Numbers" top 10...
Total blu-ray sales for those 10 titles comes to $254.4 million... That is 18.4% of ALL blu-ray sales for 2011 so far. Ridiculous. Last edited by mikemorel; 11-10-2011 at 07:00 AM.. |
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#146 | |
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I agree with you Mike, that's what I've been trying point out myself. I was just using them as point of reference to each other, but perhaps even that is not a good idea... However it's not just Trowbridge guessing, because the BLu-ray numbers are simply scaled (using Nielsen ratios) off the DVD numbers. Generally the correlation to the ratios of their units and the Nielsen ratios are within 1% on most weeks, so basically when you know their DVD numbers, then you know their Blu-ray numbers as well (to within a few percent). It's just that their high data gets exposed on Blu-ray data because it has a low ceiling compared to DVD and most of their sales are in the top 10 anyway (probably about 2/3 my guess). The last 8 weeks The-Numbers top 10 Blu-ray have been higher than HMM (all Blu-ray) by an average of 31%, and this latest week has the difference higher than ever at 56%. It's a joke, but the exaggeration starts with DVD. Last edited by bruceames; 11-10-2011 at 10:05 AM.. |
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#147 |
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![]() ![]() A few notes on the average cost per title in the above chart. 1) generally The-Numbers estimates on average cost are high, but to a lesser extent than on unit estimates. 2) in the above table, Captain America average price paid is $25.97, which seems a little high. Even when you account for 3D sales, which were probably no more than 15% of Blu-ray, it appears to be a dollar or two high. 3) Winnie the Pooh ($28.28), Jurassic Park ($61.92), Green Lantern ($28.99) and Thor ($31.99) are all high by perhaps 20% or so. 4) My guess right now is that the average price paid is about 10% high, as a whole, and that units sold estimates are probably 30-50% high. |
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#148 |
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Looks like Cars 2 ended up with good BD share, but did not really drive OD sales:
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#149 |
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#150 |
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