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Old 01-03-2012, 07:24 PM   #850  
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Novato, CA
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Originally Posted by PSound View Post
H1 will tell much next year.

Catalog releases and strength were up big in 2011. I am not sure they can grow as quickly in 2012. Without the catalog bump, I don't think we see that 20% BD growth.
I don't think so either. Even if we did, I think we'll continue to see a continued erosion of the YoY growth rate. So if it's 20% this year with release parity, then it'll be less next year. It's the nature of the dying OD beast. And as for market share, Blu-ray can continue to cannibalize DVD all that the studios want it to, but it doesn't mean much in a declining market. To use a famous quote:

" And you know the surest way to go broke? Keep getting an increasing share of a shrinking market. Down the tubes. Slow but sure. You know, at one time there must've been dozens of companies making buggy whips. And I'll bet the last company around was the one that made the best god damn buggy whip you ever saw."
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