Originally Posted by PSound
Do you have a Q4 release schedule?
My current feeling is that we are probably going to be looking at POTC week being the high point for YoY % growth in Q4 with a steady decline in percentage at that point.
I expect Q4 to be very strong overall, but for comparisons to be tougher going forward.
No, I just keep track of what's already been released. I get that info from the BD.com release calender.
But I do see your point in that a lot of the heavy hitters have already been released:
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
X-Men: First Class
After POTC4, there's less heavy box office power remaining than what's been released already.
Here's a release schedule of the top upcoming movies from September thru December. The first column is estimated domestic box office, and the third column is movie type:
$144,723,842 9-Sep 1 X-Men: First Class
$180,955,000 13-Sep 1 Thor
$168,751,540 20-Sep 3 Bridesmaids
$352,361,000 30-Sep 1 Transformers: Dark of the Moon
$209,802,420 4-Oct 1 Fast Five
Released by not yet reflected in HMM sales estimates:
$113,781,000 11-Oct 3 Horrible Bosses
$114,327,624 14-Oct 1 Green Lantern
$240,124,000 18-Oct 1 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
$97,900,000 18-Oct 3 Bad Teacher
$175,809,000 25-Oct 1 Captain America: The First Avenger
$188,585,000 1-Nov 2 Cars 2
$80,736,273 1-Nov 3 Crazy Stupid Love
$377,088,000 11-Nov 1 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
$126,966,000 22-Nov 1 Super 8
$137,551,000 2-Dec 2 The Smurfs
$99,977,166 6-Dec 1 Cowboys vs. Aliens
$253,027,043 6-Dec 3 The Hangover Part II
$164,924,000 6-Dec 3 The Help
$174,931,912 13-Dec 1 Rise of the Planet of the Apes
$164,262,000 13-Dec 2 Kung Fu Panda 2